William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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PRESIDENT SLIPS – AT 10:08 A.M. ET:  The president dropped three points in this morning's Rasmussen tracker, a rarity.  It's impossible to know, especially based on only one day's finding in a three-day rolling poll, if this has any significance.  We'll watch the coming numbers, but presidential approval often translates into a few points in the results of some congressional races.  From Rasmussen: 

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) disapprove. 

The latest figures include 34% who Strongly Approve of the way Trump is performing and 43% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -9.

COMMENT:   Meanwhile, the new Fox poll show Mr. Trump gaining four points over the last month.  Fox also shows him at 47%.

October 18,  2018